Confirmed previous forecast
-0.012972
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
91%
(0%)
Yes
9%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 29, 2024 04:32PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 29, 2023 to May 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
S-400 or S-500 missile system
1%
Su-35 fighter jets
Even tho Russia and Iran has deepend their diplomatic relationship, they will not deliver these weapons since Russia has a long history of good relations with Israel. And Russia is unstable itself.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
91%
Yes
9%
No
all signs point to yes
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 16, 2024 11:36AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Oct 16, 2023 to Apr 16, 2024
There is no benefit for Iran to limit uranium enrichment and the world will not be focused on this in the next 6 months
Files
Israel is still in the middle of a conflict, so this seems unlikely to happen. However, they were planning on it before and it is only an announcement is needed, which can happen quickly.