Forecasted Questions
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 29, 2024 01:56PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Jun 29, 2024 01:56PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 100% | 39% | +61% | -12% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 0% | 56% | -56% | +14% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 0% | 5% | -5% | -2% |
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 30, 2024 01:42AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Jul 30, 2024 01:42AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 1% | +19% | -1% |
| No | 80% | 99% | -19% | +1% |
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 27, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Aug 27, 2024 04:29PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 5% | +45% | -2% |
| No | 50% | 95% | -45% | +2% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(12 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(12 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 03:29AM UTC
(2 days ago)
Sep 29, 2024 03:29AM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 6% | -6% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 94% | +6% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 03:29AM UTC
(2 days ago)
Sep 29, 2024 03:29AM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 10% | 2% | +8% | +0% |
| Latvia | 10% | 1% | +9% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 10% | 1% | +9% | +0% |
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 03:38AM UTC
(2 days ago)
Sep 29, 2024 03:38AM UTC
(2 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 50% | 33% | +17% | +3% |
| Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations | 50% | 40% | +10% | +1% |