J

J
About:
Show more

0.264183

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 3 0 3
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 2 0 2
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
J
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 27, 2023 07:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7% (-8%)
Yes
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
93% (+8%)
No
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024

same reasons as before

Files
New Prediction
J
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 27, 2023 07:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
Yes
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
85%
No
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024

Many factors. 

Files
New Badge
J
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
J
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
J
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 27, 2023 07:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
99%
No
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024

Many reasons. A major one being Saudi domestic political concerns, and there being no need to be public about it. 

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username