Many factors.
-0.00096
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 27, 2023 07:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
Yes
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
85%
No
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 27, 2023 07:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
99%
No
Nov 27, 2023 to May 27, 2024
Many reasons. A major one being Saudi domestic political concerns, and there being no need to be public about it.
Files
same reasons as before