Apple at 3.34 T, Microsoft 2.82 T, Nvidia 2.68 T
Even though the recent months have been quite a ride for the huge tech companies, the potential paths which lead to Nvidia being biggest market cap seem extremeish. One such scenario could be Apple dipping 10 % and Nvidia gaining 12 % in two months.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(-22%)
Yes
94%
(+22%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
There is a bit of a chaos in the global market and in the AI development scene which could end up affecting the stock prices.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
28%
(-3%)
Yes
72%
(+3%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Apple's market cap 3.67 T, Nvidia's 3.43 T and Microsoft's 3.16 T are the likely still the top 3 five moon cycles later. Nvidia's stock price has kind of stabilized to this new high level in the past few months but both Apple and Microsoft have slower growth in the recent years. That possibly makes their position stronger in case of market disruptions.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Breakthroughs in AI or Nvidia chips could further boost the company's valuation.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-7%)
Yes
98%
(+7%)
No
There are only 17 days left to announce they close or relocate the labs.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
31%
Yes
69%
No
Microsoft and Apple seem more stable and have wider business.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
96%
(+8%)
Less than $90
4%
(-8%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
85-87.5 in the last 9 days, and currently at 85.6.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
50 days left in rhe question and the top 3 companies aren't that far from each other anymore (apple is +10% compared to nvidia).
Why might you be wrong?
The chaotic international trade situation.