There are only 17 days left to announce they close or relocate the labs.
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Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 16 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-7%)
Yes
98%
(+7%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
31%
Yes
69%
No
Microsoft and Apple seem more stable and have wider business.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
96%
(+8%)
Less than $90
4%
(-8%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
85-87.5 in the last 9 days, and currently at 85.6.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
88%
(+13%)
Less than $90
12%
(-13%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
Last seven days and there are a few dollars space before 90 is hit.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
9%
(-1%)
Yes
91%
(+1%)
No
9 months left now.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(-9%)
Less than $90
25%
(+9%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
Destruction of some Russian oil refineries probably played major part in the recent price increase, but I'd imagine that it's now included in the price of ~87 and it's still quite unlikely to reach 90+ in 12 days.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Apple's market cap 3.67 T, Nvidia's 3.43 T and Microsoft's 3.16 T are the likely still the top 3 five moon cycles later. Nvidia's stock price has kind of stabilized to this new high level in the past few months but both Apple and Microsoft have slower growth in the recent years. That possibly makes their position stronger in case of market disruptions.
Why might you be wrong?
Breakthroughs in AI or Nvidia chips could further boost the company's valuation.