China remains a leader in the AI space. Microsoft would be losing significant competitive advantages by closing the division.
0.000151
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Risks of doing business with China rise more quickly than expected.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
Putin seems in full control of the government and military. Health issues are a concern, but not likely in such a short time frame.
Files
Really don't see this happening. Don't see high chances of a strike or protests, or Chinese military action that could cause this.