China remains a leader in the AI space. Microsoft would be losing significant competitive advantages by closing the division.
0.000151
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Artificial Intelligence,
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Semiconductor Supply Chain
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Risks of doing business with China rise more quickly than expected.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
Putin seems in full control of the government and military. Health issues are a concern, but not likely in such a short time frame.
Files
Really don't see this happening. Don't see high chances of a strike or protests, or Chinese military action that could cause this.