RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 03, 2024 04:59PM UTC
(3 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Moldova	15%	7%	+8%	-5%
Armenia	4%	1%	+3%	+0%
Georgia	10%	3%	+7%	-2%
Kazakhstan	5%	1%	+4%	-1%

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 03, 2024 05:00PM UTC
(3 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	30%	25%	+5%	-7%
No	70%	75%	-5%	+7%

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 09, 2024 03:55AM UTC
(2 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Estonia	1%	2%	-1%	+1%
Latvia	2%	1%	+1%	0%
Lithuania	4%	1%	+3%	0%

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 29, 2024 04:14AM UTC
(1 month ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Kharkiv	5%	4%	+1%	-1%
Kyiv	1%	1%	+0%	+0%
Odesa	1%	1%	+0%	-2%

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