It already did!
0.000494
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
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| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
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| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
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This forecast expired on Jul 15, 2024 04:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100%
Yes
Apr 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
0%
No
Apr 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Are we looking that hard?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Latest gains in Ukraine bolster his support
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
Yes
35%
No
Fatigue with the war in the Israeli public will continue to rise
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 19, 2024 07:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
Yes
Feb 19, 2024 to Aug 19, 2024
97%
No
Feb 19, 2024 to Aug 19, 2024
Frustration with an infused war with Hamad will continue
Files