It already did!
0.000494
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Jul 15, 2024 04:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100%
Yes
Apr 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
0%
No
Apr 15, 2024 to Apr 15, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
75%
No
Are we looking that hard?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Latest gains in Ukraine bolster his support
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
65%
Yes
35%
No
Fatigue with the war in the Israeli public will continue to rise
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 19, 2024 07:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
Yes
Feb 19, 2024 to Aug 19, 2024
97%
No
Feb 19, 2024 to Aug 19, 2024
Frustration with an infused war with Hamad will continue
Files