Confirmed previous forecast
0.200148
Relative Brier Score
25
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0
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Definitions |
New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
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Answer
0%
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Yes
100%
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1%
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 11, 2024 04:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to Apr 11, 2025
98%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2024 to Apr 11, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 11, 2024 04:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to May 11, 2024
85%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2024 to May 11, 2024
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New Prediction
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0%
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Yes
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 11, 2024 04:36PM
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Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to Oct 11, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
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0%
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100%
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New Prediction
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0%
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100%
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No
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