Confirmed previous forecast
0.200148
Relative Brier Score
25
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs,
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
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No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 11, 2024 04:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to Apr 11, 2025
98%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2024 to Apr 11, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 11, 2024 04:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
15%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to May 11, 2024
85%
(0%)
No
Apr 11, 2024 to May 11, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 11, 2024 04:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 11, 2024 to Oct 11, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files