josesl16

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Forecasted Questions

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 16, 2024 05:20PM UTC
(7 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 2% 2%
Latvia 5% 1%
Lithuania 0% 2%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(7 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2024 05:16PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 70% 8%
No 30% 92%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 09, 2024 06:42PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 42% 34%
No 58% 66%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 20, 2024 04:51AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2024 07:17PM UTC
(18 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 9%
No 100% 91%
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