Forecasted Questions
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 10, 2024 11:12PM UTC
(5 months ago)
May 10, 2024 11:12PM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 86% | 96% | -10% | -3% |
| No | 14% | 4% | +10% | +3% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 07, 2024 12:39AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jun 07, 2024 12:39AM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharkiv | 15% | 4% | +11% | -31% |
| Kyiv | 4% | 1% | +3% | -1% |
| Odesa | 1% | 1% | +0% | -1% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 07, 2024 12:42AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jun 07, 2024 12:42AM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 3% | 2% | +1% | +0% |
| Latvia | 3% | 1% | +2% | +0% |
| Lithuania | 3% | 1% | +2% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 07, 2024 12:42AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jun 07, 2024 12:42AM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 3% | 7% | -4% | -7% |
| Armenia | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| Georgia | 9% | 3% | +6% | -2% |
| Kazakhstan | 15% | 1% | +14% | +0% |