It's too risky for them.
0.152372
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 30, 2024 11:19PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(-96%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
98%
(+96%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
12%
Yes
88%
No
It's possible but I think AI enthusiasm is in and will continue to be in a downward trend, which won't be great for NVIDIA.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 30, 2024 11:16PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
98%
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
2%
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Comment deleted on Oct 30, 2024 11:19PM UTC
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 30, 2024 11:14PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Oct 30, 2025
90%
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Oct 30, 2025
They are too far behind and are stifled by their legal restrictions on information.
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
9%
(0%)
Georgia
15%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
They are probably posturing but it's well within the realm of possibility.
Why might you be wrong?
They are probably posturing but it's well within the realm of possibility.