34th
Accuracy Rank

DCX

About:
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-0.262372

Relative Brier Score

12

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 12 12 12
Comments 0 0 1 1 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 12 12 12
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
DCX
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on May 2, 2024 09:44PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
40%
Yes
Apr 2, 2024 to Apr 2, 2025
60%
No
Apr 2, 2024 to Apr 2, 2025

Same as for the 6 month time horizon question

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New Badge
DCX
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
DCX
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on May 2, 2024 09:34PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
40%
Yes
Apr 2, 2024 to Oct 2, 2024
60%
No
Apr 2, 2024 to Oct 2, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

Iran will have to respond to Israel killing its elite commanders in it's "consulate" in Syria on Apr 2st; will likely use Hezbollah in its response, drawing Israel into declaring war on H. 

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Why might you be wrong?
Israel might be drawn into more active confrontation with H. but refrain from declaring war. 
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New Badge
DCX
earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Prediction
DCX
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Apr 26, 2024 08:55AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Mar 26, 2024 to Sep 26, 2024
100%
No
Mar 26, 2024 to Sep 26, 2024

Hell will freeze over first :) 

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New Prediction
DCX
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jun 25, 2024 08:42PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
12%
Yes
Mar 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025
88%
No
Mar 25, 2024 to Mar 25, 2025
He's 84 and a cancer survivor
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New Prediction
Things don't change so quickly
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New Prediction
Very difficult for text
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New Prediction

not much time is left and not much seems to be happening on C2PA website. 

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New Prediction

with just a week to go, nothing is happening 

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