Nr616

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Relative Brier Score
138000
Questions Forecasted

0

Forecasts

0

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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 12 0 27
Comments 0 0 1 0 2
Questions Forecasted 0 0 12 0 21
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction

when christmas comes troups will be marching

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
11%
Moldova
4%
Armenia
10%
Georgia
6%
Kazakhstan

in the works...

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
2%
Estonia
2%
Latvia
2%
Lithuania

not worth it. Taking the baltic countries is something to do when Russia has the upper hand

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2025 08:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
37%
Yes
Dec 1, 2024 to Jun 1, 2025
63%
No
Dec 1, 2024 to Jun 1, 2025

as payment for soldiers to ukraine, maybe

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Mar 1, 2025 08:09PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
37%
Yes
Dec 1, 2024 to Jun 1, 2026
63%
No
Dec 1, 2024 to Jun 1, 2026

yeah, paranoia says it is already happening

Files
New Prediction

regime will not allow it.

Files
New Prediction

russia will make an effort to defend assad

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
8%
Less than or equal to 59
10%
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
15%
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
26%
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
41%
More than or equal to 90

elections coming up, so there will be plenty

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2025 07:55PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
9%
Yes
Dec 1, 2024 to Jun 1, 2025
91%
No
Dec 1, 2024 to Jun 1, 2025

Trump pushes them over the edge

Files
New Prediction
Nr616
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Yes
97% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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