guesstimate
-0.003416
Relative Brier Score
15
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(-75%)
Yes
75%
(+75%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
the public and external resistance starts to build up
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
97%
No
there will be another reason to delay.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 1, 2024 03:48PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
13%
Yes
Apr 1, 2024 to Oct 1, 2024
Israel go paranoid
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 1, 2024 03:45PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Apr 1, 2024 to Apr 1, 2025
99%
No
Apr 1, 2024 to Apr 1, 2025
People of Iran does not want war
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
2023 Q2
1%
2023 Q3
2%
2023 Q4
5%
2024 Q1
6%
2024 Q2
does Taiwan get invaded?
Files
https://tech.slashdot.org/story/24/04/05/187205/meta-will-require-labels-on-more-ai-generated-content