Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(22 days from now)
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(22 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 1, 2025 10:24AM
(10 days ago)
Apr 1, 2025 10:24AM
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 7% | -4% | +0% |
| No | 97% | 93% | +4% | +0% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 1, 2025 10:25AM
(10 days ago)
Apr 1, 2025 10:25AM
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45% | Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025 | May 1, 2025 10:25AM | 3% | +42% | +2% |
| No | 55% | Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 1, 2025 | May 1, 2025 10:25AM | 97% | -42% | -2% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 1, 2025 10:25AM
(10 days ago)
Apr 1, 2025 10:25AM
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +0% |
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 1, 2025 10:26AM
(10 days ago)
Apr 1, 2025 10:26AM
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | Apr 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026 | Jul 1, 2025 10:26AM | 7% | +1% | +0% |
| No | 92% | Apr 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026 | Jul 1, 2025 10:26AM | 93% | -1% | +0% |