Fue to recent activity in the region Africa has a higher chance. The Wagner group has a history of deploying forces in countries with unstable political situations. Wagner may target other nations with rising inestability or strategic resources.
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Togo
70%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
Files
It depends on multiple factors:
Escalation of tensions:Increased attacks or provocations.
Internal situations: political dynamics between this two can influence on the decision of a war.
Regional context and military readiness could also influence on this because of other countries like US or Arab countries that could affect this outcome.