Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 3, 2024 07:08PM
(5 months ago)
Nov 3, 2024 07:08PM
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 0% | 3% | -3% | -4% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 0% | 8% | -8% | -12% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 72% | 34% | +38% | +5% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 28% | 43% | -15% | +8% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 0% | 12% | -12% | +3% |
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2025 07:48PM
(12 days ago)
Mar 14, 2025 07:48PM
(12 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77% | 33% | +44% | -4% |
| No | 23% | 67% | -44% | +4% |