Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2024 11:52AM
(6 months ago)
Oct 31, 2024 11:52AM
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2025 07:27PM
(1 month ago)
Feb 28, 2025 07:27PM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026 | May 28, 2025 07:27PM | 10% | -4% | +2% |
| No | 94% | Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026 | May 28, 2025 07:27PM | 90% | +4% | -2% |