Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 16, 2025 01:29AM
(3 months ago)
Jan 16, 2025 01:29AM
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 23% | 1% | +22% | +0% |
| No | 77% | 99% | -22% | +0% |
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 6, 2025 12:33AM
(2 months ago)
Feb 6, 2025 12:33AM
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | Feb 6, 2025 to Aug 6, 2026 | May 6, 2025 12:33AM | 10% | +57% | +1% |
| No | 33% | Feb 6, 2025 to Aug 6, 2026 | May 6, 2025 12:33AM | 90% | -57% | -1% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 17, 2025 12:22AM
(19 days ago)
Mar 17, 2025 12:22AM
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | 2% | +65% | +0% |
| No | 33% | 98% | -65% | +0% |
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 17, 2025 12:23AM
(19 days ago)
Mar 17, 2025 12:23AM
(19 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 27% | -15% | -11% |
| No | 88% | 73% | +15% | +11% |