Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
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Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
10%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
15%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
65%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
95%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Even when in Pandemics Egypt suffered a terrible economic situation, i don´t see likely in this moment that something similar happens in the next 12 months
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe because of less external support to Egypt
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
10%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
15%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
65%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 59
10%
(0%)
Between 60 and 69, inclusive
15%
(0%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
65%
(0%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 90
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Yes
65%
No
Personally, i do not believe this will happen soon for Syria
Files