Forecasted Questions
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Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2025 03:04PM
(1 month ago)
Feb 28, 2025 03:04PM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 5% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 95% | 95% | +0% | +0% |
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 28, 2025 04:44PM
(10 days ago)
Mar 28, 2025 04:44PM
(10 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 5% | 3% | +2% | 0% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 10% | 8% | +2% | +0% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 15% | 36% | -21% | +2% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 65% | 43% | +22% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 5% | 10% | -5% | -2% |