kim-moon-jae

About:
Show more

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score
138000
Questions Forecasted

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 2 0 2
Comments 0 0 1 0 1
Questions Forecasted 0 0 2 0 2
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
kim-moon-jae
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jan 23, 2025 03:29PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
65%
Yes
Dec 23, 2024 to Jun 23, 2025
35%
No
Dec 23, 2024 to Jun 23, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

With the impeachment of the current South Korean president and the likelihood of a new president being elected by june 2025, north korea may conduct a nuclear test to signify their importance in the region during the said time period.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

The likely candidate for the next south korean president leans towards peaceful relationship with nk.

Files
New Badge
kim-moon-jae
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
kim-moon-jae
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Making my first forecast!
Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username