Making my first forecast!
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Probability
Answer
22%
Yes
78%
No
Files
Why do you think you're right?
With the impeachment of the current South Korean president and the likelihood of a new president being elected by june 2025, north korea may conduct a nuclear test to signify their importance in the region during the said time period.
Why might you be wrong?
The likely candidate for the next south korean president leans towards peaceful relationship with nk.