Making my first forecast!
0.004941
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Artificial Intelligence,
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Science & Technology
Most Active Topics:
East Asia Security
New Prediction
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
22%
Yes
78%
No
Files
Why do you think you're right?
With the impeachment of the current South Korean president and the likelihood of a new president being elected by june 2025, north korea may conduct a nuclear test to signify their importance in the region during the said time period.
Why might you be wrong?
The likely candidate for the next south korean president leans towards peaceful relationship with nk.