dowser

About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
0891011121314151617181920Forecasted QuestionsNot Yet Forecasted Questions

Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
dowserAverageamongforecasters0123456789Active Questions ForecastedScored Questions Forecasted

    Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

    Forecast Count:
    2 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
    (2 years from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 20, 2025 12:45AM
    (25 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Estonia 0% 2%
    Latvia 0% 2%
    Lithuania 0% 2%

    Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

    Forecast Count:
    3 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
    (15 days from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 21, 2025 11:50PM
    (23 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 10% Feb 21, 2025 to Feb 21, 2026 May 21, 2025 11:50PM 9%
    No 90% Feb 21, 2025 to Feb 21, 2026 May 21, 2025 11:50PM 91%

    Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?

    Forecast Count:
    2 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (10 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 5, 2025 02:56AM
    (12 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 10% Mar 5, 2025 to Sep 5, 2025 Apr 5, 2025 02:56AM 6%
    No 90% Mar 5, 2025 to Sep 5, 2025 Apr 5, 2025 02:56AM 94%

    On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

    Forecast Count:
    8 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    May 3, 2025 04:00AM
    (2 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 8, 2025 04:10PM
    (9 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 0% 10%
    No 100% 90%

    Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

    Forecast Count:
    3 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (10 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 9, 2025 12:56AM
    (8 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 1% Mar 9, 2025 to Sep 9, 2025 Apr 9, 2025 12:56AM 2%
    No 99% Mar 9, 2025 to Sep 9, 2025 Apr 9, 2025 12:56AM 98%

    Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    4 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
    (4 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 12, 2025 02:43PM
    (5 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 0% 1%
    No 100% 99%

    Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?

    Forecast Count:
    4 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
    (5 years from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 13, 2025 06:22PM
    (4 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 10% 6%
    No 90% 94%

    Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

    Forecast Count:
    7 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
    (2 years from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 16, 2025 01:29AM
    (1 day ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Moldova 5% 7%
    Armenia 1% 2%
    Georgia 2% 4%
    Kazakhstan 1% 1%

    Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire before 1 October 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    3 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
    (7 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Mar 16, 2025 01:32AM
    (1 day ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 30% 38%
    No 70% 62%
    Files
    Tip: Mention someone by typing @username