ggplot

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0.508139

Relative Brier Score

4

Forecasts

0

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Forecasting Activity
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 0 0 28
Comments 0 0 0 0 15
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 10
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
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New Prediction

Updating given the remaining days of March

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New Prediction

Upgrading forecast taking into consideration news about North Korea

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Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Prediction

If this is not fake news: North Korea resumes weapons testing in December 2021 and launches two ballistic missiles that land near Japanese waters. The launch was the country's first public weapons test since it launched its developmental, longest-range liquid-fueled Hwasong-17 ICBM last month. Does it mean it already happened? I am not sure about my divergence from other team members. 

https://www.foxnews.com/world/north-korea-resumes-weapons-testing-launches-two-ballistic-missiles-land-near-japanese-waters

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ggplot
made their 4th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2023 02:59AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
Jan 30, 2023 to Feb 28, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction

China to reopen borders, drop Covid quarantine. The decision is the country’s last step in shedding three years of zero-Covid and pivoting to living with the virus. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3204601/china-reopen-borders-drop-covid-quarantine-january-8

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New Prediction

changing it to 0 as the question is closing 

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