Upgrading forecast taking into consideration news about North Korea
0.508139
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4
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0
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Answer
85%
(+5%)
Yes
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80%
Yes
If this is not fake news: North Korea resumes weapons testing in December 2021 and launches two ballistic missiles that land near Japanese waters. The launch was the country's first public weapons test since it launched its developmental, longest-range liquid-fueled Hwasong-17 ICBM last month. Does it mean it already happened? I am not sure about my divergence from other team members.
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This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2023 02:59AM
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3%
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Jan 30, 2023 to Feb 28, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
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98%
Yes
China to reopen borders, drop Covid quarantine. The decision is the country’s last step in shedding three years of zero-Covid and pivoting to living with the virus. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3204601/china-reopen-borders-drop-covid-quarantine-january-8
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0%
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changing it to 0 as the question is closing
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Updating given the remaining days of March