Updated given the appearance of companies such as Deepseek
0.117422
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 59 |
| Comments | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 23 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(-15%)
Yes
85%
(+15%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
AI age is coming
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(-30%)
Yes
70%
(+30%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
It currently ranks No.3, while the top competitors are roust Apple and Microsoft.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The development of AI industries is hard to anticipate; something might happen to most Nvidia the most valuable again in May.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 24, 2025 08:46PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 24, 2024 to Jun 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(+40%)
Yes
40%
(-40%)
No
Currently Apple is No.1, and Nvidia has pretty similar value as No.2. The company’s recent financial performance underscores this growth, with a 94% year-over-year revenue increase to $35.1 billion in the quarter ending October 2024.
https://companiesmarketcap.com/#google_vignette
https://apnews.com/article/nvidia-market-value-stock-price-revenue-chips-fe1d0d081191d5168332bf1c9ea3b85f
https://www.ft.com/content/1465bbdd-62e3-48da-9012-8729263878c7?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Nvidia is back at #3, around 0.6 trillion behind Apple, according to https://companiesmarketcap.com.
Why might you be wrong?
The market can be changing quickly.