GMB

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0.018071

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 122
Comments 0 0 0 0 16
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 36
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 1
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Even with the first sings of restrictions, it is possible a super hit featured by a start, that after reach the mark of 10 million reproductions revealed that the song was the creation of AI

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Why might you be wrong?

A total ban on AI songs in steaming platforms 

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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
GMB
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jul 29, 2023 07:57PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Jun 29, 2023 to Dec 29, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
GMB
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
GMB
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 6,000
45% (0%)
Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive
32% (0%)
Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive
16% (0%)
Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive
7% (0%)
More than or equal to 9,000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
GMB
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Irregular transition implicates major social unrest or a military cup, which until now looks unlikely.

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Why might you be wrong?

Social conditions can change due a wide range of drivers. 

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New Prediction
GMB
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on May 30, 2023 11:51PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Apr 30, 2023 to Oct 30, 2023
Why do you think you're right?

China doesn't have any incentive in this moment to ignite an armed conflict. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?
an ill-timed move is always a possibility.
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New Badge
GMB
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
GMB
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 6,000
45% (0%)
Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive
32% (0%)
Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive
16% (0%)
Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive
7% (0%)
More than or equal to 9,000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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