By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
Started
Oct 13, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
Seasons
This question will resolve using the qubits of the systems listed under the Access Plans available from IBM Quantum Computing. We will not distinguish between exploratory and non-exploratory systems. At the time of question launch (13 October 2022), the highest qubit system available is 127 qubits, offered through the premium plan Eagle system (listed as ‘exploratory’).
Note that IBM may announce a press release or launch of a higher-qubit system but not make it available as a Premium Plan system by the time the question closes. In this scenario, this question would resolve “No”.
Resolution Notes
The highest qubit system offered was still 127 qubits, as of 31 December 2023.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.99% | |
| No | 99.01% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 95 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 670 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
