While Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has prompted international condemnation, the domestic consequences for Putin are unclear (Bloomberg). The prospect of a prolonged war, mounting casualties, and devastating economic sanctions will test the depth of his support by the Russian public (CNBC, PBS). 

Outcome will be determined based on data reported by the Levada Center. Bins will be determined by the month of the approval rating. For example, if the May data (displayed as 05.2022 on the site) shows a 47% percent approval rating, the question will resolve on May 2022, even if the 05.2022 data is released in June.