Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
Started
Feb 16, 2023 03:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC
Closed Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC
Seasons
Ukranian president Volodymyr Zelensky has requested that western allies send fighter jets to aid their war against Russia (CNN). While the U.S. has chosen not to, some European countries, such as France and the Netherlands, have expressed openness to sending jets to Ukraine.
This question will resolve based on whether a European country (excluding Russia and Ukraine) announces that it will provide fighter jets to Ukraine to support them in the war against Russia. Examples of fighter jets include the F-15, F-16, Saab Gripen, and Eurofighter Typhoon (New Atlas).
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Question clarification
Issued on 02/20/23 02:46pm
The list of fighter jets included in the background info is not exhaustive. If a European country sends fighter jets that was not explicitly mentioned (e.g., MiGs), this question will still resolve "yes".
The list of fighter jets included in the background info is not exhaustive. If a European country sends fighter jets that was not explicitly mentioned (e.g., MiGs), this question will still resolve "yes".
Issued on 03/14/23 04:40pm
For the question to resolve "Yes", a European country must announce that it is sending fighter jets to Ukraine. We are looking for an announcement like the ones that were issued when Germany and the U.S. decided to send tanks to Ukraine in January 2023. An announcement stating a country's willingness to send fighter jets in the future (e.g., Poland's recent statements) would not be sufficient.
For the question to resolve "Yes", a European country must announce that it is sending fighter jets to Ukraine. We are looking for an announcement like the ones that were issued when Germany and the U.S. decided to send tanks to Ukraine in January 2023. An announcement stating a country's willingness to send fighter jets in the future (e.g., Poland's recent statements) would not be sufficient.
Resolution Notes
Poland announced a plan to give Ukraine a dozen MiG-29 fighter jets.
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-poland-russia-war-jets-migs-6d843ccbd50fef5f96091a5bff8f3e01
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 84.49% | |
No | 15.51% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 96 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 233 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |