What is the % risk of WW3 starting in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 9, 2022 and May 16, 2022)

Started May 09, 2022 09:17AM UTC
Closed May 16, 2022 09:17AM UTC

The worsening situation in the Ukraine, repeated threats by Russia's president Putin to use nuclear weapons, new countries considering the join NATO. The Ukraine war interacting with other geopolitical tensions/conflicts, e.g. Taiwan, Iran, North Korea.  These issues are interdependent, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine affects decision-making in other security domains, increasing geopolitical instability and the potential of WW3.

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Possible Answer Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%
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