SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.
 

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Started Jul 09, 2024 04:30PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC

In March 2024, Vladimir Putin was re-elected to serve a new six year term (Reuters). This comes after Putin signed into law in 2021 a change to the Russian constitution that reset his term limits, allowing him to run in 2024 and possibly 2030 (CBS, AP News). However, the full impact of the war in Ukraine, Russia’s economic problems, and domestic instability remains to be seen (Atlantic Council, Wilson Center). 

Resolution Criteria:  
This question will be resolved using open-source news media reports.
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username