Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between May 6, 2024 and Jun 6, 2024)
Started
May 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Tags
Seasons
In recent months, Israel and Saudi Arabia had been in talks to discuss a normalization agreement between the two countries (USIP). Following the outbreak of Israel’s war with Hamas, Saudi Arabia halted these conversations (France 24, Reuters). However, U.S. president Joe Biden believes that a normalization deal is still possible and says that Hamas may have attacked Israel to prevent Saudi Arabia from recognizing Israel (CBS News, Reuters).
Resolution Criteria:
This question will be resolved using credible open source reports. For this question to be resolved as “Yes,” both Israeli and Saudi officials must publicly acknowledge that they are resuming normalization talks. If Israel and Saudi Arabia acknowledge that talks have resumed on different dates, this question will be resolved using the date of the second country's statement.
This question is part of the issue decomposition on “Iran's Influence on Violent Non-State Actors.” For more, see INFER's explainer, issue reports, and other questions in this decomposition.
This question is a resolved time period from Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.
| Possible Answer | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0% |
| No | 0% |