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International Diplomacy & Conflict
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months)
From Russia to the South China Sea and around the globe, these questions forecast conflict, diplomatic agreements, and how these events will shape our world.
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Iran Nuclear Program (11)
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Iran-VNSAs (7)
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Mission: Diplomacy (4)
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Africa (3)
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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
34
·
73
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Closing
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
·
40
·
73
40%
Chance
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
48
·
86
50%
Chance
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