« Back to topics

International Diplomacy & Conflict

Closing

Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC (11 days)

From Russia to the South China Sea and around the globe, these questions forecast conflict, diplomatic agreements, and how these events will shape our world.

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Featured Questions

Crowd Forecast

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Closing Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 111 · 666

12%

Chance

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 100 · 761

10%

Chance

Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 86 · 657

1%

Chance

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 93 · 1011

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 110 · 976

0%

Chance

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 107 · 895

1%

Chance

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Closing Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 88 · 917

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 98 · 998

0%

Chance

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 72 · 735

0%

Chance

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 111 · 1070