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Iran: Threats & Influence

Closing

Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC (1 year)

Forecasting questions related to Iran's nuclear development, foreign relations, and influence on violent non-state actors.

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Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Closing Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 88 · 918

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 98 · 999

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Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 72 · 736

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Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC · 111 · 1071