SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.
 

650efad653b5b6cc269bbce1

About:
Show more

0.044123

Relative Brier Score

2

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 2 2 2
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 2 2 2
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions


Most Active Topics:
Iran-VNSAs

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 2, 2024 07:07AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
May 2, 2024 to Nov 2, 2024
90%
No
May 2, 2024 to Nov 2, 2024

Israel is focusing its resources on attacking the Gaza Strip (Palestine) and recent conflicts with other muslim countries such as Iran. Therefore, I believe they will not escalate the conflict with Hezbollah to a point of war.

Files
New Badge
650efad653b5b6cc269bbce1
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
650efad653b5b6cc269bbce1
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 2, 2024 07:04AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
14%
Yes
May 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
86%
No
May 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025

The Israel is putting a lot of its resources on attacking the Gaza Strip, adding Iran and other muslim countries to the conflict very recently. I believe they will focus their resources on the current war and not escalate the conflict with Hezbollah to a point of war.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username