Confirmed previous forecast
0.00058
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
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New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
1. The suppression of the domestic opposition due to the purge is taking place and is going smoothly.
2. Putin’s physical condition currently shows no signs of deterioration, including foreign visits and public records
3. From the perspective of personal interests and safety, Putin will not easily allow himself to step down at this time.1. The suppression of the domestic opposition due to the purge is taking place and is going smoothly. 2. Putin’s physical condition currently shows no signs of deterioration, including foreign visits and public records 3. From the perspective of personal interests and safety, Putin will not easily allow himself to step down at this time.
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