13th
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HenriqueFontes

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Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 2 2 23 11 214
Comments 0 0 1 1 3
Questions Forecasted 2 2 18 6 64
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 4
 Definitions
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HenriqueFontes
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
HenriqueFontes
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (-5%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
100% (+5%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025

Given China's current stance on Taiwan, which has not been violent to the point of a blockade or invasion, it is extremely unlikely any such altercations will occur within the year, unless some unpredictable event drastically changes the scenario and forces the CPC into an unexpected violent move.


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HenriqueFontes
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
HenriqueFontes
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100% (0%)
Yes
0% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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HenriqueFontes
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Sep 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
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HenriqueFontes
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Given the Russians are currently focusing the majority of their efforts and resources on the Donbass region, and on grinding the Ukranians in the Kursk region, a major ground offensive to attack Kharkiv, Kyiv and/or Odesa is very unlikely.



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HenriqueFontes
earned a new badge:

Oracle - Bronze

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard 3 months in a row.
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HenriqueFontes
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Aug 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
HenriqueFontes
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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