HenriqueFontes

Given Russia's confortable position with it's successfull war effort, it is unlikely a ceasefire will take effect soon, given the US and Ukraine's enduring resistance to terms which are key for Russia. They can continue to win the conflict and drag it out until a perceived victory or until its enemies are willing to accept it's terms.

Given China's current stance on Taiwan, which has not been violent to the point of a blockade or invasion, it is extremely unlikely any such altercations will occur within the year, unless some unpredictable event drastically changes the scenario and forces the CPC into an unexpected violent move. No changes have since happened that remotely indicate an attack on Taiwan in the following weeks.