Forecasted Questions
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 18, 2024 09:55PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Sep 18, 2024 09:55PM UTC
(12 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | Sep 18, 2024 to Sep 18, 2025 | Oct 18, 2024 | 87% | -37% | +57% |
| No | 50% | Sep 18, 2024 to Sep 18, 2025 | Oct 18, 2024 | 13% | +37% | -57% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
22 Forecasts
22 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 18, 2024 09:56PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Sep 18, 2024 09:56PM UTC
(12 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | Sep 18, 2024 to Mar 18, 2025 | Oct 18, 2024 | 86% | -56% | +58% |
| No | 70% | Sep 18, 2024 to Mar 18, 2025 | Oct 18, 2024 | 14% | +56% | -58% |