Confirmed previous forecast
1.777773
Relative Brier Score
695
Forecasts
11
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 26 | 42 | 476 | 331 | 2269 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 80 |
Questions Forecasted | 26 | 36 | 93 | 64 | 292 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 29 | 22 | 150 |
Definitions |
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
5%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025
96%
(0%)
No
Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
2%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
98%
(0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Kuwait
2%
(0%)
Oman
1%
(0%)
Qatar
3%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
1%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
94%
(0%)
No
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Increasing last bin