32nd
Accuracy Rank

JonathanMann

Jonathan Mann
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Forecasted Questions

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 14, 2024 05:14AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 5% 5%
No 95% 95%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 10:12PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 1% 3%
Kyiv 0% 1%
Odesa 0% 2%

What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 10:17PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 24% 0% 0%
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% 0% 1%
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% 1% 4%
More than or equal to 28% 99% 94%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(9 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 10:23PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 8%
No 99% 92%

On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 06:56PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 50% 34%
No 50% 66%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 07:20PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 0% 1%
Oman 0% 2%
Qatar 0% 1%
Saudi Arabia 0% 2%
Tunisia 0% 1%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 07:24PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 37% 35%
No 63% 65%

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 07:41PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 99% 97%
No 1% 3%
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