Forecasted Questions
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 14, 2024 05:14AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Nov 14, 2024 05:14AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 5% | 5% | +0% | +0% |
No | 95% | 95% | +0% | +0% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 10:12PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Nov 18, 2024 10:12PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kharkiv | 1% | 3% | -2% | +0% |
Kyiv | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Odesa | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 10:17PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Nov 18, 2024 10:17PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 24% | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
More than or equal to 24% but less than 26% | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
More than or equal to 26% but less than 28% | 1% | 4% | -3% | +0% |
More than or equal to 28% | 99% | 94% | +5% | +1% |
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(9 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(9 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 18, 2024 10:23PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Nov 18, 2024 10:23PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | 8% | -7% | +0% |
No | 99% | 92% | +7% | +0% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 06:56PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Nov 21, 2024 06:56PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 50% | 34% | +16% | +1% |
No | 50% | 66% | -16% | -1% |
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 07:20PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Nov 21, 2024 07:20PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kuwait | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
Oman | 0% | 2% | -2% | 0% |
Qatar | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
Saudi Arabia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
Tunisia | 0% | 1% | -1% | 0% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 07:24PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Nov 21, 2024 07:24PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 37% | 35% | +2% | +0% |
No | 63% | 65% | -2% | +0% |
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 21, 2024 07:41PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Nov 21, 2024 07:41PM UTC
(20 hours ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 99% | 97% | +2% | 0% |
No | 1% | 3% | -2% | 0% |