Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(12 days from now)
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(12 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 14, 2025 07:53PM
(1 month ago)
Feb 14, 2025 07:53PM
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | Feb 14, 2025 to Feb 14, 2026 | May 14, 2025 07:53PM | 9% | +5% | -3% |
| No | 86% | Feb 14, 2025 to Feb 14, 2026 | May 14, 2025 07:53PM | 91% | -5% | +3% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(2 years from now)
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 19, 2025 02:49PM
(29 days ago)
Feb 19, 2025 02:49PM
(29 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 8% | 7% | +1% | +1% |
| Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +1% |
| Georgia | 3% | 4% | -1% | +1% |
| Kazakhstan | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(12 days from now)
Apr 1, 2025 04:00AM
(12 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 19, 2025 02:52PM
(29 days ago)
Feb 19, 2025 02:52PM
(29 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 5% | +0% | -5% |
| No | 95% | 95% | +0% | +5% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2025 05:28AM
(23 days ago)
Feb 25, 2025 05:28AM
(23 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 98% | +2% | +0% |
Which of the following territorial developments between Venezuela and Guyana will occur before 1 August 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Aug 1, 2025 04:00AM
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2025 02:47PM
(23 days ago)
Feb 25, 2025 02:47PM
(23 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana | 1% | 1% | +0% | -1% |
| Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells | 2% | 2% | +0% | -1% |
| Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
| Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
(5 years from now)
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
(5 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 27, 2025 05:32AM
(21 days ago)
Feb 27, 2025 05:32AM
(21 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 6% | -1% | -2% |
| No | 95% | 94% | +1% | +2% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(1 month from now)
May 3, 2025 04:00AM
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 3, 2025 09:06PM
(16 days ago)
Mar 3, 2025 09:06PM
(16 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | 10% | -1% | -3% |
| No | 91% | 90% | +1% | +3% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2025 08:04PM
(1 day ago)
Mar 18, 2025 08:04PM
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
(2 years from now)
Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2025 08:04PM
(1 day ago)
Mar 18, 2025 08:04PM
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | 39% | -6% | +0% |
| No | 67% | 61% | +6% | +0% |
Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(7 months from now)
Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 19, 2025 12:03PM
(15 hours ago)
Mar 19, 2025 12:03PM
(15 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2% | +1% | +0% |
| No | 97% | 98% | -1% | +0% |