JonathanMann

Jonathan Mann
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Forecasted Questions

    Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

    Forecast Count:
    9 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
    (2 years from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Jan 28, 2025 05:23AM
    (17 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Moldova 8% 6%
    Armenia 1% 1%
    Georgia 3% 4%
    Kazakhstan 1% 1%

    Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    8 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
    (5 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 4, 2025 05:03AM
    (10 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 1% 1%
    No 99% 99%

    Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

    Forecast Count:
    7 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
    (2 years from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 8, 2025 08:41PM
    (5 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 33% 39%
    No 67% 61%

    Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    9 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Oct 1, 2025 04:00AM
    (8 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 10, 2025 08:35PM
    (3 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 4% 2%
    No 96% 98%

    On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

    Forecast Count:
    7 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    May 3, 2025 04:00AM
    (3 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 10, 2025 08:47PM
    (3 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 28% 19%
    No 72% 81%
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