JonathanMann

Jonathan Mann
About:
Show more
  • 2023 Season
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Jan 16, 2024 07:32PM From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, how many fatalities from violence against civilians in Mexico will ACLED record? -0.001248
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits? 0.024029
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023? -0.000218
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM Will YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter enable digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) on photos or videos in 2023? -0.026228
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023? -0.000051
    Nov 18, 2023 05:00PM Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023? 0.049956
    Nov 1, 2023 04:01AM Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive? -0.029121
    Sep 18, 2023 04:01AM Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023? 0.00654
    Sep 1, 2023 09:00PM How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023? -0.009644
    Sep 1, 2023 04:00AM Will a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company join the BOTTLE consortium as an industry partner by 31 August 2023? -0.000102
    Aug 21, 2023 09:00PM Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023? -0.000169
    Jul 11, 2023 01:00PM Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023? -0.000043
    Jul 2, 2023 04:00AM How many “venture capital members” will be part of BioMADE at the end of June 2023? -0.000042
    Jul 1, 2023 04:01AM Will Kosovo and Serbia sign an EU-backed proposal aimed at normalizing diplomatic relations by 30 June 2023? 0.000813
    Jul 1, 2023 04:00AM Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023? -0.001915
    Jun 1, 2023 12:45AM On 31 May 2023, how many total tax incentives will be listed in the Alternative Fuels Data Center? -0.01223
    May 15, 2023 05:45PM Will Thailand hold a general election on or before 14 May 2023? 0.000012
    Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023? -0.000697
    Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined? 0.00885
    Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023? 0.000005
    Files
    Tip: Mention someone by typing @username