Confirmed previous forecast
-0.131624
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
Scored Questions
66
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 6 | 24 | 336 | 66 | 1259 |
| Comments | 1 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 45 |
| Questions Forecasted | 6 | 11 | 26 | 14 | 85 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 63 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
12%
(0%)
Yes
88%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 16, 2025 to Sep 16, 2025
95%
(0%)
No
Mar 16, 2025 to Sep 16, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
12%
(-3%)
Yes
88%
(+3%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Reducing over time.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The volatility might still surprise me sometime in the next couple months.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-2%)
Yes
99%
(+2%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Should be resolving "no" by the end of the month unless there's a last minute announcement.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 8, 2025 to Sep 8, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Mar 8, 2025 to Sep 8, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(-4%)
Yes
92%
(+4%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Moving closer to crowd consensus.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
.
Files